Thursday, March 24, 2011

Poor old P.I.G.S!

Poor old Portugal, if only P.I.G.S. could fly!!

http://news.bbc.co.uk/today/hi/today/newsid_9434000/9434575.stm


We have to wonder what would have happened to the UK had the roof not begun to be fixed after the sun stopped shinning!

http://nickhorslen.blogspot.com/search?q=pigs

http://nickhorslen.blogspot.com/search?q=P.I.G.s

Wednesday, April 21, 2010

Perfect Storm!

Among Economist, Academics and Politicians there has been much talk and white papers written about the "perfect storm" of the global economy and the banking crisis.

At the time (and you have to question the word "time" as many knew about it before they let on to the rest) it was difficult to separate out the reality from people wanting to "spin" for their own self interest be they in industry, finance, politics, the media etc etc. There were, are and always will be people spinning it from either side ie over negative or over positive.

However two years on from the financial scandal and the UK political scandal its still hovering and merging with the other scandals, be that the catholic church and child abuse, the scientific community and the Climate change lobby regards real data, the Volcano in Iceland and the closure of Europe and the UK fly zones with all its impact on people and the economy (or not). Add to that the continuing armed struggles in Afghanistan and Iraq, the wide risk and fear of terrorism, the unrest in Palestine, the concerns about Iran and nuclear weapons, the state of the Euro (re Greece, Ireland and what some unkindly call the PIGS facing the IMF Portugal, Ireland, Greece and Spain) and the alignment of economies without aligned fiscal and monetary policies. The "Perfect storm" does seem to continue to brew. What is interesting is "have we been through it, or is it approaching"?

If 10 years ago anyone would have predicted the experience of 2010 very few would have believed it. The UK closes it airports for a week, hundreds of thousands are stranded abroad! The Pope is asked to close the club! More politician step down at an election on all side than ever before! (incentives maybe?) etc etc. Fewer still would think that most people could and would continue with their lives and business as usual. For me its a reminder of the resilience and determination of people, of individuals to keep going. Amazing!! Teams, groups, organisation, businesses and political parties take their hit, some fall and die others are born or grow from it. This is part of the natural process.

I remember as a young child seeing news reports of earthquake zones and thinking isn't it amazing that at times of great tragedy people get stuck in and do wonderful things to help and save others. In fact we see things in that way but the truth is it happens everyday. These crisis and perfect storms at a micro and macro level are common events and the good will of people is an everyday event as is the life cycle of everything from the joy and excitement of birth and growth (not just of people but also of business, social change, technology etc) to the decline of aging and eventual death of everything.

Im just documenting this here as a marker for myself, not knowing what 2011 or 2020 or 2100 will bring. Im sure interested and believe very much that the entrepreneurs and the generation Y are going to be the pivotal leaders of change, that deliver what i think will be the new triple bottom line of the next generation, where economic, social and environmental responsibility is seen under a new light, all carefully understood to be intertwined and hopefully not institutionalised in any one approach or dogma. I hope!

For now with all the economic and political upheaval, the key issues still remain for me those that are being furthered by the likes of:

http://www.theelders.org/
http://www.longnow.org/

and if i had to pick a top 10 it would be:

1. Respect for and inclusion/empowerment of women - women are great leaders of men.
2. Respect for Nature - earthquakes, volcano's and Tsunami's shape our planet and existence.
3. Respect for people and human rights - people trafficking and exploitation is the biggest cause of unrest everywhere.
4. Respect for diversity and evolving change - new ways of doing things bring on the new world.
5. Respect for renewal - small is beautiful and any institutionalisation eventually leads to bubbles that have to break or be broken.
6. Respect for your own wellbeing - be that related to food, stress, substance abuse or any addictive tendency, people can and do have answers to all these challenges.
7. Respect for young people - they are the future, not to be corrupted by our past ignorance.
8. Respect for science and fact - avoid those peddling spin and fairy tales.
9. Respect for Art, Music and Sport - The human, social and economic benefits of these are huge!
10 Understand the Triple bottom line".... Please, you add yours?


One thing is very clear, when trust is broken or promises of trust are revealed to be what they were, at best, hopes and good intentions and at worst, grooming purely for damning self interests, it helps us to focus on: "what do we understand we trust, and, what do we need to be able to trust better?".


This Millennium particularly with the maturation of the Internet is going to see real change, real access, real dialogue and real people power. Thank goodness for http://www.ted.com/ and Facebook and Twitter and all the others. Lets see where the semantic web and "linked data" combined with augmented reality take us next with the web. "Im trying to be careful with what i wish for as we might just get it!" as the old saying goes!

Id love to hear your thoughts of if you have any cross references beyond many of the things Ive blogged and twittered on in recent year do please share.

Tuesday, November 30, 2010

Spain braces itself for a crisis made in Germany

Does the good intentions of neighbours eventually lead to a dependency that doesnt endure over the long term. With cycle after cycle the eventual pain comes home. Where is home for those big and small, at the centre or at the periphery, in the anglosaxon or latin tradition!?
FT.com / Comment / Opinion - Spain braces itself for a crisis made in Germany
Is it politics, or economics of societorial I wonder?

The mention of P.I.G.S over a year ago has loomed large in blogs and twitter, mine included. Contagion beyond Portugal, Ireland, Greece and Spain, seems, as Ive posted before its Italy next:
FT.com / Markets - Debt contagion fears weigh on investor sentiment

This little PIGGY went to market, this little piggy stayed at home, this little piggy went we we we all the way home!

Friday, April 30, 2010

UK Election 2010

Well what an interesting election it has been!
I wonder what we will all be saying in a weeks time when its all over?

Heres some of the current indicators:

http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/uk_politics/election_2010/default.stm

http://today.yougov.co.uk/politics

http://www.ipsos-mori.com/researchspecialisms/socialresearch/specareas/politics/generalelection2010.aspx


The conservative are edging ahead at about 34% labour are neck and neck with libdem at around 27/28%. The conservatives really need to hit 40%+ to then think its going to happen next week.

The talk is of a hung parliament especially since the "game changing" debates on TV and the big up take on the lib dem. I wonder who's breakfast they have really eaten.

With the big issues of the Euro P.I.G.S only now coming into focus, we have much to worry about outside our own domestic politics and finances.

With the US looking better with Obama and their economy moving, there is hope.

China's growth aroung 11% is amazing.

What does it all mean, which way should confidence go without deluding ourselves.

Personally i think people are waking up to the fact that who ever was in for the last 13 years, the only real answer is change. when push comes to shove Im sure LibDem will take seats from conservatives and labour but overall they will win many second places at the expense of labour in third place. So long as Cameron sticks to the style and substance so for then i think he will have the mandate to get on a fix the deficit and address many of the economic, social and enviromental issues we need to solve. First off we need a sustainable approach from short to long term. Heres waiting for the 6th!!

Thursday, November 03, 2011

Greece, Euro and IMF?

I wonder what has really been going on for the last 6 months, when amateurs like me have spoken of the PIGS for 2yrs and predicted whats likely and those more professional and expert have or must have known more.

Do france and germany know more than we, yes, have they allowed for the smoke screens of announcements over the last two months only to find the Greek PM throw himself on his sword, or has he just had enough.

Whats next?

The unthinkable has been thought in recent weeks about Greece leaving the Euro, today the unspokable has been spoken with politcal leaders saying greece decides if its in or out else there is no bail out, guess what they will choose. When will the undoable be done?

Perhaps this whole charade has been to make the undoable doable, but are they mitigating or minimizing impact.

Look beyond today and then Italy just simply becomes a credibility issue, jokers in charge. People expect more, perhaps they fool themselves. The world needs to be made simpler not more complex these people are only people!

Friday, December 31, 2010

365 of 2010

Well what a year!

Weather chaos at start and finish. Past govt exposed as incompetent for years, no clear winner at election, doubtful coalition get a grip, BP, Banks and Soverign debt, P.I.G.S. and Euro crisis, water leaks and wikileaks, North Korea, China and US politics, Ipad and facebook, twitter and GroupON, whatever next its a right mixed bag.

For me closer to home big issues about the good and bad of the NHS and the care for elderly hit too close to home. Thank goodness some lovely people chose to be nurses and carers.

Men look after your prostrate, your bladder and your marbles. Make sure you have a good pension and a loveing family at hand for when you hit old age. Old age might not be till we are 100 but 60, 70 and 80 can be pretty serious for some. Most of all fight for your health and your rights while staying healthy, sound in diet and sound in mind. Its no joke when your parents, kids or yourself get seriously ill, as there are some seriously inept people out there that dont help in the NHS!!

Good luck in 2011, Im looking forwards to it!!

Monday, July 11, 2011

George Soro and the Euro: Open society view!

True Europeans now need a ‘plan B’ FT The A-List http://t.co/jc2Q4aA



See the early posts on P.I.G.S